World Alpha

Research-First Macro Intelligence

Autonomous synthesis of global macro, policy, and geopolitical developments into conviction-ranked, mechanism-grounded intelligence.

World Alpha Synthesis18 Feb 2026 07:00 CET
Active Themes3 promoted / 5 max
Fed Terminal Rate Repricing
HIGH11/12
Evidence
3
Mechanism
3
Consensus
2
Timing
3
InvalidationFed cuts before Sep FOMC
EUR Fiscal Fragmentation
MEDIUM9/12
Evidence
3
Mechanism
2
Consensus
2
Timing
2
InvalidationEU grants fiscal flexibility waiver
China Deflation Loop
MEDIUM8/12
Evidence
2
Mechanism
3
Consensus
1
Timing
2
InvalidationPPI turns positive for 2 consecutive months
Pipeline07:00 CET
Load State
Retrieve
Filter
Score
Write
Publish
Source Authority3 tiers
T1
ConfirmedFed, ECB, BoJ, BIS
T2
ReportedReuters, Bloomberg, FT
T3
SpeculativeUnnamed, single-outlet
Watchpoints3 active
BoJ yield curve control review (June)
US debt ceiling X-date approach
OPEC+ compliance fracture signals
Self-Reflection3 open
BoJ minutes gapRETRIEVAL
EUR theme anchoringSCORING
China theme staleLIFECYCLE
Source Authority

Sourcing from the world's most authoritative institutions

Tier 1 -- Confirmed
FEDERAL RESERVE
ECB
Bank of Japan
Bank of England
BIS
IMF
OECD
Tier 2 -- Reported
Reuters
Bloomberg
Financial Times
The Wall Street Journal
Nikkei

How World Alpha Works

A rigorous, multi-layered methodology that transforms raw global information into structured, mechanism-grounded research intelligence.

Conviction Scoring.

Structured 4-dimension scoring (Evidence, Mechanism, Consensus, Timing) producing 4-12 conviction ranks.

Mechanism Chain Analysis

Every narrative requires a falsifiable causal chain: Trigger, Transmission, Affected Dimension, Horizon.

Tier 1 Source Authority

Direct feeds from central banks, statistical agencies, and official legal texts. No aggregators.

Cross-Theme Interaction Maps

Weekly mapping of amplifying, offsetting, and conditional relationships between active themes.

Autonomous Daily Synthesis

Scheduled daily research synthesis with state management, continuity tracking, and self-auditing.

Linear Self-Reflection Loop

Agent-raised issues surface quality gaps, source failures, and scoring anomalies automatically.

Synthesis starts from events and mechanisms, not price moves. Markets confirm; research leads.
WA
Core Design Principle
World Alpha Methodology

Pricing for every research mandate

From individual analysts to institutional desks requiring dedicated synthesis infrastructure.

Starter
$39
/month
Essential macro research synthesis for individual analysts.
Includes:
Daily synthesis report
Up to 3 active themes
Basic source coverage
Conviction scoring
Email support
ProfessionalPopular
$119
/month
Advanced research synthesis for professional analysts.
Includes:
Daily synthesis report
Up to 10 active themes
Full source coverage
Interaction mapping
Pipeline run history
Priority support
Enterprise
$399
/month
Full-featured synthesis for institutional teams.
Includes:
Daily synthesis report
Unlimited active themes
Custom source integration
API access
Dedicated support
SLA guarantee

Secure checkout via Stripe. Cancel anytime.

Built for professional research desks

How macro strategists, risk officers, and research directors
use World Alpha to sharpen their synthesis process

The conviction scoring framework changed how we approach thematic research. Having structured dimensions for Evidence, Mechanism, Consensus, and Timing forces discipline that eliminates the noise from our morning process.
MS
Macro Strategist
G10 Rates Desk
The cross-theme interaction maps caught an amplifying relationship between energy transition policy and inflation regime that our team had missed entirely.
PA
Portfolio Analyst
Multi-Strategy Fund
World Alpha's mechanism chain requirement means every narrative we act on has a falsifiable causal path. No more hand-waving about why something matters.
RO
Risk Officer
Sovereign Wealth Fund
The tiered source authority system gives us confidence in evidence quality. We know exactly whether a claim is Confirmed, Reported, or Speculative.
RD
Research Director
Systematic Macro
Having the daily synthesis land at 07:00 CET with continuity tracking means we start every session with a structured baseline rather than scrambling through headlines.
CS
Chief Strategist
EM Credit Desk
The invalidation conditions on every active theme are invaluable. We know exactly what observable event would close a narrative before we build exposure.
DP
Discretionary PM
Global Macro Fund
The self-reflection loop through Linear means the system surfaces its own gaps before they become blind spots. Source audit, conviction anchoring checks, stale theme flagging — it is the research process auditing itself.
HR
Head of Research
Multi-Asset Allocator

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about World Alpha and how it structures macro research intelligence

What is World Alpha and who is it for?
World Alpha is an autonomous research synthesis engine that monitors global macro, policy, and geopolitical developments and compresses them into structured, mechanism-grounded intelligence. It is built for discretionary macro investors, systematic strategists, risk officers, and analysts who need a daily synthesis baseline grounded in falsifiable causal chains rather than opinion or price action.
How does the conviction scoring system work?
Every active theme is scored across four dimensions: Evidence quality (source tier), Mechanism clarity (causal chain completeness), Consensus position (how under-appreciated the narrative is), and Time definition (catalyst specificity). Each dimension scores 1-3, producing a composite 4-12 conviction rank. Scores of 10-12 are HIGH conviction, 7-9 MEDIUM, and 4-6 LOW (watchpoint only).
What sources does World Alpha use?
World Alpha sources exclusively from tiered authorities. Tier 1 (Confirmed) includes central bank statements, official data releases, and legal texts. Tier 2 (Reported) includes Reuters, Bloomberg, FT, WSJ, and Nikkei. Tier 3 (Speculative) sources like unnamed officials or single-outlet exclusives are only permitted in the Watchpoints section and never drive active theme promotion.
What does instrument-agnostic mean?
World Alpha describes what is changing and why it matters through complete mechanism chains (Trigger, Transmission, Affected Dimension, Horizon) without prescribing specific instruments, pairs, or positions. Users bring their own book, mandate, and risk tolerance. World Alpha brings the synthesis.
How does the daily synthesis schedule work?
Task A (Daily Synthesis) runs at 07:00 CET every day. It loads prior state, executes a multi-layer retrieval stack, filters through mechanism chain and promotion criteria, assigns conviction scores, and writes structured output with up to 5 promoted narratives, watchpoints, cross-theme maps, and a tomorrow's focus section.
What is the self-reflection loop?
World Alpha uses Linear integration as a structured signal channel from the synthesis engine to the operator. The system automatically creates issues when source coverage degrades, conviction scoring shows anchoring, themes go stale, or cross-theme interactions are missed. Issues carry function labels, priority tiers, and auto-close criteria. Zero open issues for more than 5 days triggers its own warning.

Research-first. Signal-second.

Start every session with structured, conviction-ranked macro intelligence grounded in falsifiable mechanism chains.